Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 15th July – 19th July 2024

Global Economy According to the Office of National Statistics, the UK’s Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 2.0% YoY in June 2024, unchanged from May 2024. On a MoM basis, CPI rose by 0.1% in June 2024, the same rate as in June 2023. Core CPI (excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco) rose by 3.5% […]

Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 1st July – 5th July 2024

Global Economy A private Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) survey released earlier this week stated that the Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI increased to 51.8 in June 2024 from 51.7 in May 2024, which was the quickest clip since May 2021. For eight months running, the index—which primarily includes smaller, export-focused businesses—has been above the 50-point threshold […]

Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 22nd April – 26th April 2024

Global Economy Earlier this week, S&P Global released flash Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) reports for both the UK and US. The headline S&P Global Flash US PMI Composite Output Index dropped to 50.9 points in April 2024 from 52.1 points in March 2024. The S&P Global Flash US Manufacturing PMI, which considers a wide range […]

Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 18th March – 22nd March 2024

Global Economy Earlier this week, data from the office of National statistics showed the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 3.4% YoY in February 2024, down from 4.0% YoY in January 2024. On a MoM basis, CPI rose by 0.6% in February 2024, compared with a rise of 1.1% MoM in February 2023. Core […]

Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 11th March – 15th March 2024

  Global Economy Earlier this week, the US Census Bureau released retail trade data. According to the Census Bureau, advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were USD700.7bn, up 0.6% MoM from January 2024, and up […]

Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 9th February – 16th February 2024

Global Economy In January 2024, headline inflation in the US saw a slight uptick, rising by 0.3% month-on-month (MoM), compared to December’s 0.2% MoM increase, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). However, year-on-year (YoY) inflation experienced a slight decrease, settling at 3.1%, down from December’s 3.4% YoY. The increase in inflation was primarily propelled […]

Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 29th January – 2nd February 2024

Global Economy In a coordinated stand against inflation, both the UK’s Bank of England (BOE) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) held their key interest rates steady this week. While economic data showed some positive signs, the central banks emphasized their commitment to taming inflation pressures. The Fed opted to keep its federal funds rate […]

Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 11th December – 15th December 2023

Global Economy Earlier this week, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at the end of its policy meeting. The widely expected decision kept the target range for the federal-funds rate at 5.25-5.50%. The median forecast in Federal Open Market Committee members’ latest Summary of Economic Projections has the federal-funds rate ending 2024 at 4.6%. […]

Weekly Commentary and Stock Recommendation: 27th November – 1st December 2023

Global Economy Earlier this week, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US Real Gross Domestic Product increased at a rate of 5.2% YoY in Q3:2023, according to its revised estimates. The increase in real GDP reflected increases in consumer spending, private inventory investment, exports, government spending, residential fixed investment, and nonresidential fixed […]